You may recall (or not) my posts about the curious case of China Eastern Flight MU5735 and follow ups discussing the highly unusual situation of the China Eastern Airlines B737-800 that on March 21, 2022 during a flight from Kunming to Guangzhou, China suddenly entered a near vertical dive and plunged from its cruising altitude and crashed in a matter of only a couple of minutes.
Flightradar24 reconstructed the relevant portion of the flight from ADS-B data recorded in real time.
The cause of the incident is/was a mystery because airliners don’t just fall out of the sky and crash from such an altitude. Compounding the intrigue was the lack of communication from the flight deck during the dive and the fact that the black boxes – the flight data recorder (FDR) and cockpit voice recorder (CVR) – were damaged so badly that the data was unavailable at the time the preliminary report was required to be issued 30 days following the crash.
To get as much information, if any, as possible from the FDR and CVR the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) sent the black boxes to the manufacturer in the United States for analysis. Yesterday, the Wall Street Journal reported that data recovered so far indicates that the plunge to the ground resulted from inputs to the flight controls by someone in the cockpit, i.e. an intentional act. It appears this conclusion was based on information from the FDR. The CVR may be the best evidence of what happened on the flight deck.
The WSJ report is unofficial. The CAAC and U.S. National Transportation Board have not confirmed or denied the WSJ story. I wanted to get this information out before it became too stale.
As discussed in my original post, a deliberate crash of the aircraft seemed to be the most plausible cause given what was know at the time of the crash. I think suspicion may focus on the copilot who had over 31,000 hours of flight time. For what its worth, I believe it is highly unusual for a pilot with that much flight time not to be the pilot in command.
Final Thought
A commercial airline pilot intentionally crashing a plane is extremely rare but not unprecedented. It has happened only a handful of times in the history of commercial aviation. The most recent example I’m aware of is Germanwings Flight 9525, a 2015 flight where a pilot crashed an Airbus 320 into the French Alps.
Commercial aviation is by far the safest form of travel. Still, it is a good idea to be nice to people like your surgeon or pilot.
Nice post.
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Thanks…
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I’m guessing that the relevant official aviation agencies have solved the case. It is China’s prerogative whether or not to release the results first. I have a hunch they may do so, but not anytime soon.
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That is probably correct. Authorities seemed to quickly conclude there was nothing wrong with the aircraft. China initially grounded 737-800s but lifted the restriction after a couple of weeks. The 737-MAX, on the other hand, hasn’t flown with Chinese airlines in since the second accident a couple of years ago.
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I remember well John and keep hoping beyond hope there will be some answers but tragically it won’t change the outcome 😳😟
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Very true. Predicting human behavior is something we aren’t very good at yet.
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Interesting, still love planes. Thank’s for share, John.
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In spite of this incident I love planes too and even pilots.
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Exactly, love planes and pilots are nice. I have always thought that they are very inteligente, handle those boards and handling that pressure.
Passengers are their responsibility.
Nice day, John.
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We will probably never know for sure the actual cause of the plane crash, but for what I take from your post, the most likely cause is the pilot crashing intentionally the plane, right?
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Correct, Blanca. If the conversations can be recovered from the CVR, we should get a clear idea of what was being said if anything. Thanks for following the saga.
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💜 Divine Intervention Maybe 🤔 ?
…💛💚💙…
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That is a possibility one way or another.
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Doubly sad, if confirmed. The individuals onboard had no idea that they fates were sealed when they boarded that flight.
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Yes. It was a real tragedy. So much in life is beyond our control.
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sad but seemed like the one most likely reason from the start. Interestingly the common belief amongst some aviation experts on MH170 I saw is now that there was some sort of afixiation in the cockpit and the pilot passed out after some issue had him turning around and it just kept flying until the fuel ran out
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MH170 is a mystery that probably will go unsolved. Thanks for sharing this theory.
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Yes, it’s a big story in India, and really unfortunate. But right, just be good to the doctor, pilot and the waiter.
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Yes. Let’s not forget about our waiters.
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